Abstrakt

Risk assessment research on an electric power project used Monto-Carlo-NPV mothed

Ning Yao

The risk was distinguished in a electric power project in the paper, the main risk factors were analyzed and those factors were changed into the useful parameters for NPV model by using Monte Carlo-NPV mothed, then the main economic indexes of the project such as NPV, IRR were calculated to confirm the project’s feasibility and the risk degree. Through the sensitivity analysis of the main economic indicators of NPV, IRR on the various risk factors, the risk factors of greater influence were selected to be managemented and avoided to reduce or avoid enterprise’s risk. The results showed that the Monte-Carlo-NPV mothed was a practical and feasible mothed for risk analysis